Friday, January 15, 2010

Obscure postings

Posting late at night sometimes I don't communicate that well. I started mumbling something about small cap shares and then found bed calling so let me try again.

I think there may be some merit in certain of the JSE listed small cap shares in 2010 and here are a list of stocks which I believe should be considered. Some are great businesses with a good track record and some are a little higher risk.

AdvTech
South Africa's leading private education provider, AdvTech is one of those stocks which could be classified as defensive. Parents will always want to equip their kids with the best opportunities. There is a massive shortage in quality education providers in the country and AdvTech gives you one way of participating in it.

Historical PE multiple of 12 means its not cheap but sometimes you pay a little extra for a bit of quality

CIC Holdings
This is a nice little company which has re-rated significantly since I tipped it at 80c last year. Presently trading at around 130c a share it still only sits on an historical PE of 5 times earnings. Its a company that not a lot of people know much about but it owns quite a lot of agencies in growth markets in Africa. It's partly owned by Paladin Capital (PSGs investment arm). A positive for it is first mover advantage but a negative in that it is an agency type business and does not have a lot of its own Intellectual Property. Still might have some legs though.

Zeder
Jim Rogers is still mumbling on about farming being all the rage in the coming years and I can buy that story. Zeder, the PSG agri-ops business has been very aggressive in the last 12 months sorting out and growing its portfolio.

Paladin Capital
This is your alternative in the education space (but with far less concentration). Paladin - the PSG investment arm - is in the process of rolling out and expanding its network of Curro schools. These guys have been tipped as being super aggressive so and probably not the nicest management around but they'll get the job done.

Pallinghurst
This is the only resource play which jumps out at me but I am useless at judging the sector so don't go on my word. I was speaking to one of the resource guys yesterday and his thinking is that it will either be a 10-bagger or it will go nowhere fast.

Beige Holdings
I am probably going to take much flak for this one but this is a company I really like. Its got much too much paper in issue but its not the worst business around by the stretch of anyones imagination. It has quite a lot of negative legacy issues which its battling to shake off. However it has a major competitive advantage in terms of that new factory which it has put together in Chloorkop plus that factory in Durban (Quality Products I think its called). They can interchange product lines extremely quickly meaning they can shift up or down depending on demand. Paper is a huge issue though. Directors have also not been shy to buy their own stock.

Glenrand MIB
Buying a share in an insurance broking operation in the current economic climate seems to be madness. But that hasn't stopped the big-wigs at GlenMib putting their money down on a regular basis. Something is potting here and a historical PE of 9 considering the problems they had last year may be a sign that better earnings are coming through.

If anything else jumps out at me, I'll post it below this thread but it might be something to look at.

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